discussion
Posted by
cypresstx on 9/12/2018, 5:46 am
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT1+shtml/120853.shtml
snippet:
Later in the period, the dynamical model spread increases but most of the guidance has continued its southward shift, and now take Florence southwestward near the coast of South Carolina by day 4. The NHC track has been adjusted southward at days 4 and 5, and is a little north of the consensus out of respect for continuity, however, the GFS, ECMWF, and the ECMWF ensemble mean is south of the NHC track forecast, and additional southward adjustment may be warranted in future advisories.
but out of respect for saving lives, prepare yourself for a southern dip in the track if you live in that direction
http://wx.graphics/models/ecmwf_florence.png
(new gfs coming in, not complete) http://wx.graphics/models/gfs_florence.png |
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