Recon indicates Marco is stronger
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 8/22/2020, 9:47 am
8am EDT / 7am CDT best track data has Marco at 55 knots which they would round up to 65mph if they go with that in advisory. 8:50am EDT vortex below.
995mb pressure with 22 knots of surface wind might work out to 993mb pressure.
Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC) Transmitted: 22nd day of the month at 13:24Z Agency: United States Air Force Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF99-5309 Storm Number & Year: 14 in 2020 Storm Name: Marco (flight in the North Atlantic basin) Mission Number: 5 Observation Number: 11
A. Time of Center Fix: 22nd day of the month at 12:50:10Z B. Center Fix Coordinates: 20.48N 85.13W B. Center Fix Location: 121 statute miles (195 km) to the ESE (113°) from Cancún, Quintana Roo, Mexico. C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,393m (4,570ft) at 850mb D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 995mb (29.39 inHg) E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 258° at 22kts (From the WSW at 25mph) F. Eye Character: Open in the south G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 6 nautical miles H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 57kts (65.6mph) I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 31 nautical miles (36 statute miles) to the ENE (61°) of center fix at 12:39:30Z J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 155° at 69kts (From the SSE at 79.4mph) K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 10 nautical miles (12 statute miles) to the E (86°) of center fix at 12:46:30Z L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 52kts (59.8mph) M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 4 nautical miles to the WSW (237°) of center fix at 12:51:30Z N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 317° at 48kts (From the NW at 55.2mph) O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 3 nautical miles to the WSW (247°) of center fix at 12:51:00Z P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 18°C (64°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,537m (5,043ft) Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 22°C (72°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,531m (5,023ft) R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 17°C (63°F) R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature S. Fix Level: 850mb T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles T. Meteorological Accuracy: 0.5 nautical miles
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 69kts (~ 79.4mph) which was observed 10 nautical miles (12 statute miles) to the E (86°) from the flight level center at 12:46:30Z |
37
In this thread:
Marco -
cypresstx,
8/20/2020, 3:58 pm- Monday morning visible of Marco - Chris in Tampa, 8/24/2020, 10:01 am
- Re: Marco - James g, 8/24/2020, 12:55 am
- Predicted landfall of Marco & Laura - tvsteve, 8/23/2020, 8:08 pm
- floater images - cypresstx, 8/22/2020, 4:03 pm
- Re: Marco - Fred, 8/22/2020, 12:07 pm
- 10am CDT on Saturday: 65mph; "Marco strengthening quickly", "Forecast to become a hurricane later today" - Chris in Tampa, 8/22/2020, 10:59 am
- 7am CDT on Saturday intermediate advisory: 50mph - Chris in Tampa, 8/22/2020, 9:38 am
- Recon indicates Marco is stronger - Chris in Tampa, 8/22/2020, 9:47 am
- 4am CDT on Saturday: 45mph - Chris in Tampa, 8/22/2020, 6:26 am
- Marco - cypresstx, 8/21/2020, 11:34 pm
- LOL - karen, 8/21/2020, 11:44 pm
- Re: Fourteen - Chris in Tampa, 8/21/2020, 5:41 am
- Hurricane watch / tropical storm warning issued for part of eastern Yucatan - Chris in Tampa, 8/20/2020, 11:23 pm
- Re: Fourteen - Chris in Tampa, 8/20/2020, 10:19 pm
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