Recon indicates Marco is stronger
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 8/22/2020, 9:47 am
8am EDT / 7am CDT best track data has Marco at 55 knots which they would round up to 65mph if they go with that in advisory. 8:50am EDT vortex below.

995mb pressure with 22 knots of surface wind might work out to 993mb pressure.



Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 22nd day of the month at 13:24Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF99-5309
Storm Number & Year: 14 in 2020
Storm Name: Marco (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 5
Observation Number: 11

A. Time of Center Fix: 22nd day of the month at 12:50:10Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 20.48N 85.13W
B. Center Fix Location: 121 statute miles (195 km) to the ESE (113°) from Cancún, Quintana Roo, Mexico.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,393m (4,570ft) at 850mb
D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 995mb (29.39 inHg)
E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 258° at 22kts (From the WSW at 25mph)
F. Eye Character: Open in the south
G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 6 nautical miles
H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 57kts (65.6mph)
I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 31 nautical miles (36 statute miles) to the ENE (61°) of center fix at 12:39:30Z
J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 155° at 69kts (From the SSE at 79.4mph)
K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 10 nautical miles (12 statute miles) to the E (86°) of center fix at 12:46:30Z
L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 52kts (59.8mph)
M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 4 nautical miles to the WSW (237°) of center fix at 12:51:30Z
N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 317° at 48kts (From the NW at 55.2mph)
O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 3 nautical miles to the WSW (247°) of center fix at 12:51:00Z
P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 18°C (64°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,537m (5,043ft)
Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 22°C (72°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,531m (5,023ft)
R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 17°C (63°F)
R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
S. Fix Level: 850mb
T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
T. Meteorological Accuracy: 0.5 nautical miles

Remarks Section:

Maximum Flight Level Wind: 69kts (~ 79.4mph) which was observed 10 nautical miles (12 statute miles) to the E (86°) from the flight level center at 12:46:30Z
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Marco - cypresstx, 8/20/2020, 3:58 pm
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