3am AST Wednesday on Teddy: 90mph; Teddy rapidly intensifies into a 90-mph hurricane
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 9/16/2020, 3:49 am
Track:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/?cone#contents
It's still over 5 days out from possible impacts to Bermuda. Models are showing a more direct impact on Bermuda now. Long terms models are also showing the possibility of impacts on mainland North America, from Maine to Canada. It will need to be watched.
GFS:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=atl&pkg=mslp_uv850
Euro:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=atl&pkg=mslp_uv850
Hurricane Teddy Special Discussion Number 15
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202020
300 AM AST Wed Sep 16 2020
Teddy has rapidly intensified overnight. Satellite images show an
eye has formed, and satellite intensity estimates are between 77-
90 kt. The initial wind speed is set to 80 kt as a blend of these
data. Further strengthening is expected and Teddy could become a
major hurricane later today or Thursday. The intensity forecast
has been raised considerably in the short-term based on current
trends, and could have to revised upward on the regular 5 am
advisory.
No changes to the track forecast are needed.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 16/0700Z 15.5N 48.7W 80 KT 90 MPH
12H 16/1200Z 16.0N 49.2W 90 KT 105 MPH
24H 17/0000Z 17.3N 50.5W 95 KT 110 MPH
36H 17/1200Z 18.8N 52.0W 100 KT 115 MPH
48H 18/0000Z 20.2N 53.4W 105 KT 120 MPH
60H 18/1200Z 21.6N 54.8W 100 KT 115 MPH
72H 19/0000Z 23.0N 56.2W 100 KT 115 MPH
96H 20/0000Z 26.5N 60.0W 100 KT 115 MPH
120H 21/0000Z 29.5N 62.5W 95 KT 110 MPH
$$
Forecaster Blake |
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3am AST Wednesday on Teddy: 90mph; Teddy rapidly intensifies into a 90-mph hurricane - Chris in Tampa, 9/16/2020, 3:49 am
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