Re: GFSv16
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 2/14/2021, 10:08 pm
I haven't followed along how it has been performing. I know in some past updates while some things improved, some things got worse. I think the one instance I am thinking of might have involved snowfall. I forget.

This is good though:

"EMC has conducted a set of retrospective and real-time
experiments, covering part of the 2018 hurricane season and the
period from May 10, 2019, to the present, for a comprehensive
evaluation of the model upgrades. GFSv16 showed improved
forecast skills in the following areas:"

"Increased identification of tropical cyclone threats with
higher success ratio and longer lead times "

Also in that list:

"Improved snowfall location and amounts with longer lead times"

So maybe that is as good or better than the previous versions.
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GFSv16 - cypresstx, 2/10/2021, 8:32 pm
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