Wind Speed Probabilities as of 4am CDT Sunday
Posted by tvsteve on 8/29/2021, 5:35 am
Wind Speed Probabilities as of 4am CDT Sunday
The number of cities in this list decreases as the location of landfall becomes more definitive.

Here are the latest wind speed probabilities listed in order: from cities at high risk, to cities at low risk.
The table below is derived from the 5-day (120 hour) data listed in the "Wind Speed Probabilities For Selected Locations" section published by the NHC.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2021/al09/al092021.wndprb.012.shtml






City
Chance of a high-end
tropical storm strike
winds 58 MPH or greater
Chance of a
hurricane strike
winds 74 MPH or greater
NEW ORLEANS LA 95 % 69 %
BURAS LA 94 % 37 %
BATON ROUGE LA 88 % 55 %
MORGAN CITY LA 87 % 53 %
STENNIS MS 49 % 11 %
NEW IBERIA LA 38 % 11 %
LAFAYETTE LA 32 % 9 %
JACKSON MS 19 % 2 %
GULFPORT MS 16 % 3 %
ALEXANDRIA LA 14 % 2 %
CAMERON LA 4 % <1 %
FORT POLK LA 4 % <1 %
LAKE CHARLES LA 4 % <1 %
MOBILE AL 4 % <1 %

14
In this thread:
4am CDT Sunday on Hurricane Ida: 140mph; Forecast to strengthen some more - Chris in Tampa, 8/29/2021, 5:03 am
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