Re: So thoughts on 97?
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 8/8/2022, 9:05 pm
The models have shown Bermuda and Canada being a possibility. I think it's too early yet to know about other possibilities. There has been a lot of dust previously.

Saharan Air Layer (SAL):
https://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/sal/salmain.php?&prod=split&time=

Some of these waves make it further across if they stay weaker. I want to see how this one does being the first one in a long time. Some of the global model runs I have seen, and I haven't been paying too much attention yet over the past several days, but they show it strengthening some earlier on. I haven't looked at too many runs, but the ones I have seen of the GFS and Euro don't strengthen it too much. On the local news tonight a local chief meteorologist was talking about how it was likely going to eventually run into a wall of shear. I'd like to see if it stays as north, or even further north, than what the models have.

GFS:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=atl&pkg=mslp_pcpn

Euro:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf&region=atl&pkg=mslp_pcpn

NHC Atlantic Outlook:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

Atlantic wide view satellite:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=taw&band=AirMass&length=24

Floater:
https://rammb-data.cira.colostate.edu/tc_realtime/storm.asp?storm_identifier=al972022
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In this thread:
So thoughts on 97? - AquaRN, 8/8/2022, 1:00 pm
  • Re: So thoughts on 97? - Chris in Tampa, 8/8/2022, 9:05 pm
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