Major Cyclone Mocha. Bangladesh and Myanmar major disaster imminent??
Posted by Fred on 5/13/2023, 6:16 pm
| https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=01B&product=ir Cyclone Mocha rapidly intensifies ahead of devastating landfall in Myanmar and Bangladesh. Mocha is expected to reach the coast during midday or afternoon Sunday in the local region. The anticipated landfall is presently near or north of Sittwe, Myanmar, a city about 50 miles south of the Myanmar-Bangladesh border. Evacuations of about half a million people are ongoing in the region, focused on northern Myanmar and southern Bangladesh. Locations near the landfall zone can expect disastrous winds, extreme surge and rainfall, as well as a freshwater flood threat that wanders farther inland with the storm. Landfall is expected to be near or north of Sittwe, Myanmar. It could be as far north as the Bangladesh border, a few dozen miles past the city. The JTWC forecast calls for Mocha to reach peak intensity about 12 hours before landfall, with some minor weakening as it reaches shore Sunday afternoon local time. Their official landfall intensity is 130 mph (115 knots) sustained. There remains some disagreement as to its landfall intensity. The storm is likely to come ashore as a major hurricane equivalent of Category 3 or higher. It could reach shore as a Category 4 or higher. Mocha continues to be stronger than forecast in the short term, which may mean a stronger system as it reaches land. Bay of Bengal storms are historically the deadliest on Earth. This can be attributed to the funneling effect of the bay as storms head north, typically scorching water temperatures that fuel rapid intensification, and socio-economic influences. The likely landfall zone sits at the mouth of several rivers, meaning land in the area is particularly low lying and with minimal slope headed inland. As with many Bay of Bengal tropical cyclones, the ability of deep destructive surge to head well past the coastline is a major concern. Ongoing war in Myanmar has also led to the creation of several large mega camps for the displaced. There is potential for hundreds of thousands of unhoused individuals to face the fury of surge, wind and rain from Mocha, including up to 1 million people in a camp just north of the border in Bangladesh.  |
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- that is just devastating :'( - cypresstx, 5/13/2023, 8:49 pm
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