Latest local updates from the special
hurricane correspondents on the islands:
- Saba [Oct 22 10:07]
- Dominica [Oct 22 9:47]
- Tortola & Virgin Gorda [Oct 22 9:41]
- St.Thomas [Oct 22 9:23]
- St.Maarten/St.Martin [Oct 22 8:50]
- Anguilla [Oct 22 8:32]
- Nevis [Oct 22 8:07]
- Guadeloupe [Oct 22 6:24]
- Antigua [Oct 22 2:36]

Sunday, October 22, 2023 09:31AM EDT - Timely Tammy
Good morning,

Timely as in turning sharply more northerly earlier than was projected, therefore sparing most of the islands direct wind impacts, save for Barbuda, where landfall was made last night with wind speeds at 85-90 mph. This same island was virtually wiped off the map in 2017 by hurricane Irma which is small and flat like a non risen pancake. Hopefully they fared much better with this Cat 1 storm than Cat 5 Irma. No reports yet as of this post.

Other islands experienced flooding rains as reflected in several of our volunteer correspondents' posts here for Guadeloupe and Barbados. While all hurricane watches and warnings have been discontinued as of the 8 am advisory, there will be much more rain and squally weather to come as Tammy pulls away from the island chain. Her tail reflects a copious blob of rainfall which will be pulled from St. Vincent and the Grenadines northward where flooding will be a continuing real concern for the next 36 hours or so. Tammy is expected to weaken after exiting the islands but then re-emerge as a hurricane, maybe a Cat 2 for a short time as wind shear will lessen in a small window of opportunity. After that, there is low confidence in track and intensity but most point to an interaction, once again, with Bermuda down the road.

While all eyes have been focused on Tammy, we sometimes have a sneaker lurking and looking for an opportunity. While not on the NHC's official Invest list as of yet and might not ever be, there is a tropical wave low rider moving quickly west hanging on to Tammy's coattails. Development is not expected as of yet but some of the Lesser Antilles should expect more heavy rain and gusty winds next week. There are also a few late season waves to come.

Over by Central America, a quick spin up is possible before an expected inland push. Nicaragua, Costa Rica, and Panama should expect heavy rains and gusty winds from whatever it winds up morphing into if anything.

Stay safe and prepared!

Dave.