In the East Pacific, Otis is forecast to make landfall as a potentially catastrophic category 5 hurricane near Acapulco
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 10/24/2023, 10:27 pm
Message modified by a board administrator (Chris in Tampa) on 10/24/2023, 11:52 pm
NHC:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Satellite floater:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/floater.php?stormid=EP182023#homePageLink
I don't want to say too much about the NHC track other than its near Acapulco and they are going experience hurricane force winds based on the forecast track and wind field. I don't know enough about the area. With the angle it is coming in at, and its current movement, I don't know how bad the winds might be, but people should be simply evacuating. There really is no time to do anything else. Really not even time for that for much longer.
But the storm looks like it is heading right for Acapulco. Track errors are more in the East Pacific. Forget the center line, watch what the storm is doing.
This happened so fast. It was a tropical storm this morning. And by morning, I mean at 11am EDT it was 70 mph. (I edited this, initially I said 65mph) At 8pm EDT is is 145 mph. We need to do better in the East Pacific. We need more recon. There was one plane today. Mexico is getting surprised by some of these this year.
Also, the NHC's imagery at the moment, on both the static map and dynamic map, don't show any watches or warnings. That's a horrible time to have that not work. It's in the text advisory, but not the images.
Colorado State interactive SLIDER display:
https://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/?sat=goes-16&sec=full_disk&x=5774&y=7281&z=5&angle=0&im=12&ts=3&st=0&et=0&speed=130&motion=loop&maps%5Bborders%5D=white&maps%5Bcities%5D=white&p%5B0%5D=band_13&opacity%5B0%5D=1&pause=0&slider=-1&hide_controls=0&mouse_draw=0&follow_feature=0&follow_hide=0&s=rammb-slider&draw_color=FFD700&draw_width=6
That is not a NNW heading.
Acapulco:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Acapulco
Population of over half a million, metro over a million. |
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In the East Pacific, Otis is forecast to make landfall as a potentially catastrophic category 5 hurricane near Acapulco - Chris in Tampa, 10/24/2023, 10:27 pm
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