After suffering at least 155 deaths since March from disastrous floods, Tanzania is bracing for the approach of what could be the strongest tropical cyclone to affect the region in modern recordkeeping, with torrential rains in excess of 10 inches (254 mm) likely along its path. https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/05/a-rare-tropical-cyclone-landfall-is-on-tap-for-tanzania/ Forecast to be a tropical storm at landfall, but will have heavy rains in an area that has already had very heavy rainfall and a lot of deaths. Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC): https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html Stories: https://www.google.com/search?q=Tanzania+cyclone&tbm=nws Earlier in the day the JTWC said this in an advisory: "SATELLITE ANALYSIS, INITIAL POSITION AND INTENSITY DISCUSSION: TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 23S (HIDAYA) HAS SET A NEW RECORD, AS THE MOST INTENSE TC IN THIS REGION IN THE HISTORICAL DATABASE, PEAKING AT AN ESTIMATED 80 KNOTS EARLIER IN THE DAY. RAPIDLY INCREASING SHEAR AND AN INFLUX OF DRY AIR IN THE MID-LEVELS MEANS THAT THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN FROM HERE FORWARD." While is it forecast to continue to weaken in terms of the wind, rainfall is the big threat. Very wide view satellite: https://eumetview.eumetsat.int/static-images/MSGIODC/RGB/AIRMASS/CENTRALAFRICA/index.htm Bottom right. Or interactive viewer to zoom in: https://view.eumetsat.int/productviewer?v=msg_fes:rgb_airmass You have to pan to it from Europe. Two countries north of South Africa on the east coast of Africa, NW of Madagascar. From yesterday: |