Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Oct 7 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Leslie, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean, on
Hurricane Milton, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico, and
has issued the final advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Kirk,
located over the North Atlantic Ocean.

1. Southwestern Atlantic:
An area of disturbed weather located across portions of South
Florida, the Florida Straits and the northwestern Bahamas is
expected to move northeastward, where an area of low pressure could
form near the northwestern Bahamas. Some limited tropical or
subtropical development is possible while the low moves
northeastward to east-northeastward around 15 mph. However,
upper-level winds are likely to increase in a couple days, which
should prevent any further development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

2. Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa in
a couple days. Afterward, environmental conditions appear
marginally favorable for some slow development of this system while
it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern tropical
Atlantic. The system is expected to move near or over the Cabo
Verde Islands on Thursday or early Friday, and interests there
should monitor its progress.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.


Forecaster Hagen