Now TD21W
Posted by JAC on 10/8/2009, 9:34 am
WTPN31 PGTW 081500
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 21W (TWENTYONE) WARNING NR 001    
  03 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   ---
  WARNING POSITION:
  081200Z --- NEAR 16.7N 143.0E
    MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 355 DEGREES AT 08 KTS
    POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
    POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
  PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  REPEAT POSIT: 16.7N 143.0E
   ---
  FORECASTS:
  12 HRS, VALID AT:
  090000Z --- 18.4N 142.6E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 345 DEG/ 10 KTS
   ---
  24 HRS, VALID AT:
  091200Z --- 20.4N 142.1E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 10 KTS
   ---
  36 HRS, VALID AT:
  100000Z --- 22.3N 142.0E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 11 KTS
   ---
  EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
  48 HRS, VALID AT:
  101200Z --- 24.4N 142.3E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 12 KTS
   ---
  72 HRS, VALID AT:
  111200Z --- 28.9N 144.5E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 13 KTS
   ---
  LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
  NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
  ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
  NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
   ---
  96 HRS, VALID AT:
  121200Z --- 33.4N 147.8E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
  VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 040 DEG/ 21 KTS
   ---
  120 HRS, VALID AT:
  131200Z --- 39.9N 154.7E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  EXTRATROPICAL
   ---
REMARKS:
081500Z POSITION NEAR 17.1N 142.9E.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 21W (TWENTYONE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 235
NM NORTH-NORTHWEST OF GUAM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER
THE PAST SIX HOURS. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A,
NAVMARFCSTCEN 080221Z OCT 09 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT
(WTPN21 PGTW 080230) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 081200Z
IS 9 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z, 090300Z, 090900Z AND 091500Z.
REFER TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19W (PARMA) WARNINGS (WTPN33 PGTW) FOR
SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. REFER TO TROPICAL STORM 20W (MELOR) WARNINGS
(WTPN34 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN

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