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MM5E agrees

Posted by JAC on 11/3/2009, 10:51 am

23

In this thread:

GFS has Panama Yellow Box moving north into West Carib - JAC, 11/3/2009, 6:30 am

• JAC.......... - Doorman, 11/3/2009, 5:37 pm
  • Re: JAC.......... - JAC, 11/3/2009, 9:12 pm
• Maybe a Hot Tower - JAC, 11/3/2009, 3:43 pm
  • Lastest about 1 hr - relatively small - JAC, 11/3/2009, 3:57 pm
• Recon tasked for Wednesday - JAC, 11/3/2009, 10:31 am
• Not bad warm-core with good inversion - JAC, 11/3/2009, 9:32 am
• Possible EPAC TC could develop & affect UL Winds - JAC, 11/3/2009, 9:21 am
  • I'll bet 97L wins - JAC, 11/3/2009, 10:09 am
    • Re: I'll bet 97L wins - BobbiStorm, 11/3/2009, 4:09 pm
      • Cirrus canopy building nicely - JAC, 11/3/2009, 4:23 pm
      • Getting small deep burst nearly the LLC center - JAC, 11/3/2009, 4:19 pm
        • Waiting for core to heat up - JAC, 11/3/2009, 4:20 pm
• Re: GFS has Panama ORANGE Box moving north into West Carib - BobbiStorm, 11/3/2009, 8:53 am
  • The LL Vorticity & Anti-cyclone are developing nicely - JAC, 11/3/2009, 9:08 am
    • 30 to 40 knot UL Jet along 15N enhancing Poleward Outflow Channel - JAC, 11/3/2009, 12:40 pm
• Invest 97L Up - JAC, 11/3/2009, 7:46 am
  • Early Guidance takes it into Nicaragua - JAC, 11/3/2009, 8:56 am
    • 12Z GFDLshows Cat1 near Caymans - JAC, 11/3/2009, 12:56 pm
      • Re: 12Z GFDLshows Cat1 near Caymans - JAC, 11/3/2009, 3:10 pm
    • Analogs - JAC, 11/3/2009, 10:55 am
    • Intensity - JAC, 11/3/2009, 10:53 am
    • NAM: A different track & strengthening - JAC, 11/3/2009, 10:45 am
      • MM5E agrees - JAC, 11/3/2009, 10:51 am
    • 06Z GFS runs it into the Yucatan - JAC, 11/3/2009, 9:18 am
  • Some small overshooting cu-nim's - JAC, 11/3/2009, 8:32 am
    • Good solid cell - JAC, 11/3/2009, 8:34 am
      • Poppin & spinnin on high-res vis - JAC, 11/3/2009, 8:39 am
  • SHIPS: Moderate Shear Forecast, 34% Chance of RI - JAC, 11/3/2009, 8:02 am
    • Good opportunity for intensification if takes GFS track - JAC, 11/3/2009, 8:16 am
• Anti-cyclone forecasted to remain intact and push shear out of the way - JAC, 11/3/2009, 7:44 am
• Euro moves it into the GOM - JAC, 11/3/2009, 7:24 am
  • CMC pushes it west, NAEFS hasn't bought in - JAC, 11/3/2009, 8:07 am
• Just went Orange - JAC, 11/3/2009, 7:01 am
  • ASCAT: 20 to 25 knt in-the-clear barbs - JAC, 11/3/2009, 7:04 am
• Amplifying on MIMIC-TPW - JAC, 11/3/2009, 6:37 am
  • Nice Spin - JAC, 11/3/2009, 6:59 am
  • Anti-cyclone Overhead - JAC, 11/3/2009, 6:38 am

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