Artic Blast No 2 Mid-Week
Posted by JAC on 12/13/2009, 4:19 pm






SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
240 PM EST SUN DEC 13 2009

VALID 00Z MON DEC 14 2009 - 12Z TUE DEC 15 2009

ENTERING NEXT WEEK...MUCH OF THE CENTER OF THE NATION CAN EXPECT
VERY COLD TEMPERATURES AS ANOTHER ARCTIC AIR MASS DROPS SOUTHWARD
THROUGH THE PLAINS. WHILE THE INITIAL PROGRESS OF THE BOUNDARY
WILL BE SLOW AT THE START...IT SHOULD PICK UP SOME STEAM BY MONDAY
MORNING AS IT SURGES SOUTHWARD REACHING THE WESTERN GULF COAST BY
THE FOLLOWING MORNING. IN THE WAKE OF THIS POWERFUL SYSTEM...A
STRONG SURFACE ANTICYCLONE WILL BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WHICH
WILL PROMOTE WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS MUCH OF THE
MIDDLE OF THE NATION. FOR INSTANCE...HIGHS ON MONDAY ARE EXPECTED
TO BE CONSTRAINED TO THE NEGATIVE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHERN PLAINS WITH NOT MUCH IMPROVEMENT ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS AS HIGHS SHOULD NOT RISE ABOVE THE TEENS.
MOREOVER...SUBZERO OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE COMMONPLACE ACROSS MUCH
OF THE NORTHERN TIER STRETCHING AS FAR SOUTH AS THE
NEBRASKA/KANSAS BORDER. EVENTUALLY THE FRIGID AIR MASS WILL MOVE
EASTWARD INVADING THE UPPER GREAT LAKES BY LATE TUESDAY.

WHILE THE COLD WILL BE A MAJOR STORY ENTERING THE MIDDLE OF
DECEMBER...PRECIPITATION WILL ALSO BE A NOTEWORTHY
FEATURE...AFFECTING MANY LOCATIONS OF THE NATION. BEGINNING WITH
THE NORTHEASTERN U.S...A SYSTEM ORIGINATING FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO HAS MOVED NORTHWARD ALONG THE LEE OF THE APPALACHIANS UP
INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION. WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION HAS
ACCOMPANIED THIS WEATHER SYSTEM...MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS. HOWEVER...ON THE NORTHERN FRINGE OF THE
SWATH OF PRECIPITATION...A MIXTURE OF SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN HAS
BEEN HITTING AREAS OF THE UPPER MID-ATLANTIC AND INTO THE INTERIOR
NORTHEAST. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO PUSH OFFSHORE BY EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. ON IT WINGS...A WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL BRING
A LIGHT BATCH OF PRECIPITATION...THROUGH THE MIDWEST AND INTO THE
GREAT LAKES ON TUESDAY. AMOUNTS SHOULD REMAIN ON THE LOWER END
GIVEN MEAGER MOISTURE AVAILABILITY.

A SYSTEM WHICH HAS PUSHED THROUGH MUCH OF THE WESTERN U.S. IS
CURRENTLY BRINGING WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL TO THE INTERIOR MOUNTAIN
WEST. THE HEAVIEST SNOWS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE WASATCH AND
TETONS WHERE THE STRONGEST OROGRAPHIC FORCING WILL EXIST. A BULK
OF THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD WIND DOWN BY MONDAY EVENING BEFORE
ANOTHER DISTURBANCE PUSHES ONSHORE. AT THIS POINT...YET ANOTHER
ROUND OF COASTAL/VALLEY RAIN AND INTERIOR SNOWS ARE IN THE
FORECAST ENTERING MONDAY NIGHT. LOOKING ELSEWHERE...A WEAK
BOUNDARY HOVERING ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL KEEP CONDITIONS
UNSETTLED ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
EXPECTED BY MIDDAY MONDAY AND AFFECTING THE REGION THROUGH
TUESDAY.


RUBIN-OSTER

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Artic Blast No 2 Mid-Week - JAC, 12/13/2009, 4:19 pm
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