Re: Strong flow from Yucatan towards Cuba/Florida... how does that affect the oil on the water
Posted by
CypressTX on 4/28/2010, 4:55 pm
I would have to save it to the web & then post a link - I don't have an account on a "file share" site, but will try to post the text - it might not line-up correctly from the table in the Word '07 document though - I will email it to you as a PDF file also Jim:
Spot Forecast for Deepwater Horizon Recovery Operations
0600 Hazmat Forecast 04/28/10 for Deepwater Horizon Site in Offshore Waters
Today Tonight Thurs Thurs night Fri Fri night
Date 4/28 4/29 4/30
Sunrise/Sunset 0615 1927 0614 1928 0614 1929
Wind Dir/Speed(kts) NE 8-12(am)
SE 7-10(pm) SE 10 SE 15-20 SE 15-20 SE 15-25 SE 15-25
Mixing Heights(ft) 2500(am)
3200(pm) 3200(pm)
2300(am) 2300 2000(pm)
1000(am) 1000 700-1000
Transport Winds(kt) NE 6(am)
E 5(noon)
SE 6(pm) SE 7-13 SE 15-25 SE 20-25 SE 20-25 SE 20-25
Seas (ft) 2-4 1-3 3-4 5-7 7-9 8-11
Sea State Rough/Choppy Choppy Rough Rough Very Rough Very Rough
Max/Min Temp 72 64 75 69 76 73
Rainfall amount 0 0 0 0.01 0.10 0.15
Rain chances 0% 0% 5% 20% 40% 30%
Visibility >6SM >6SM >6SM >6SM >6SM >6SM
Min/Max RH 53 before noon 90 66 100 79 94
Avg Pressure(mb) 1017 1017 1014 1012 1011 1011
Forecast Briefing
Surface high pressure will quickly track across the area today. As this happens, winds will shift from northeast to southeast and fall to around 5-7kts. This high will settle in the western Atlantic through the weekend. Meanwhile, a series of surface lows will develop and move through the southern plains. The resulting winds between these 2 features, spot area, will be strong PERSISTENT southeast winds of at least 20kts from Thursday night through Saturday night. In addition, expect seas to build to a peak of 7-11 feet and have a sea state of very rough during this period. Although a front is progged to approach the coastal waters late this weekend, at this time it does not appear that it will push through until the middle of next week. Thus, southeast winds will continue into next week but may decrease slightly into early next week. In addition to wind forecast, expect rain/thunderstorm potential to be increasing. Localized winds may increase with stronger storms as well as the likelihood of frequent lightning.
Forecast for the Coastal Waters from Pascagoula to the Southwest Pass of the Mississippi River
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
425 AM CDT WED APR 28 2010
.TODAY...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS.
PROTECTED WATERS CHOPPY.
.TONIGHT...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS.
PROTECTED WATERS CHOPPY.
.THURSDAY...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET.
PROTECTED WATERS ROUGH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO
6 FEET. PROTECTED WATERS ROUGH. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRIDAY...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS. SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET.
PROTECTED WATERS VERY ROUGH. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS. SEAS 5 TO 7 FEET.
PROTECTED WATERS VERY ROUGH. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.SATURDAY...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO 6 FEET.
PROTECTED WATERS ROUGH. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 4 TO
6 FEET. PROTECTED WATERS ROUGH. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
.SUNDAY...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.
PROTECTED WATERS ROUGH. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 5 FEET.
PROTECTED WATERS CHOPPY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MS TO THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
425 AM CDT WED APR 28 2010
...SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS
MORNING...
.TODAY...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 KNOTS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 TO 4 FEET SUBSIDING TO
2 FEET OR LESS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS.
.THURSDAY...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 3 TO 4 FEET.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 6 TO
8 FEET. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.FRIDAY...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS. SEAS 7 TO 9 FEET.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KNOTS. SEAS 8 TO
10 FEET. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.SATURDAY...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FEET.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 8 TO
10 FEET. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.SUNDAY...SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS. SEAS 7 TO 9 FEET.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 KNOTS. SEAS 6 TO 9 FEET.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
Hazardous Weather Outlook
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS WILL PERSIST THIS MORNING. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
MARINE...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR THE GULF
COASTAL WATERS FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THRU EARLY SUNDAY AS A RESULT
OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF STRONG ONSHORE FLOW AND BUILDING SEAS.
THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY FROM FRIDAY
THROUGH TUESDAY. A FEW STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY WITH THE GREATEST THREAT BEING DAMAGING WINDS.
COASTAL FLOODING...
A PERSISTENT MODERATE TO STRONG ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. ADDITIONALLY...THE
ASTRONOMICAL TIDE CYCLE WILL BE AT LARGE SPRING TIDE RANGES THIS
WEEKEND. THESE CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE UNUSUALLY HIGH
WATER LEVELS THAT WILL RESULT IN THE POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL FLOODING
OUTSIDE THE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEE SYSTEMS.
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