92L Analysis
Posted by
Jake on 6/14/2010, 11:50 am
The disturbance quite organized for this time of the year and especially in the central tropical atlantic. Morning sat images show some scattered convection mostly on the northern edge of where the low/mid level center was located. However, I don't see this becoming more than a TD or weak TS. This will be brief at best.
The disturbance is under a somewhat favorable upper level environment and SST are warm enough. However, the vortmax is mostly in the 850mb levels and lacks vertical structure above 700mb. This will decrease the inflow of latent heat and strength of high base convection.
Lastly, the most important part of this analysis is the proximity of the TUTT over the eastern carib and mid/upper level winds approaching the wave from the east. This wind surge conbined with the TUTT will shear 92L NE ward.
This season will be one to remember in my opinion, not yet. |
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92L Analysis - Jake, 6/14/2010, 11:50 am Post A Reply
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