Re: Forecasting Problem Ahead
Posted by BobbiStorm on 6/29/2010, 9:18 am
Seriously?  A lot of possibilities, a lot of areas that are not as densely populated as Houston and Gulfport.

Here are two possibilities:

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/2000/KEITH/track.gif

and best case probably here, someplace like this

http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/atlantic/1999/BRET/track.gif

And, again the point was a tightly wrapped hurricane would have most of it's worst weather in a small area and moving away from areas affected by the oil.

In this case.... we are tracking a point far to the south and due to move wnw while very strong, cells of weather and high surf are being shoved north into the Central Gulf because it is a weak storm.

I believe the President mentioned just this scenario in his interview with Larry King, he was told a bad scenario would be a messy tropical storm vs a tightly wound hurricane.










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Forecasting Problem Ahead - BobbiStorm, 6/29/2010, 7:33 am
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