TD11F
Posted by
JAC on 2/17/2011, 2:09 pm
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Feb 17/0909 UTC 2011 UTC.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TD11F [1002 HPA] ANALYSED NEAR 13.8S 169.9E AT
170600 UTC SLOW MOVING. POSITION POOR BASED ON MTSAT IR IMAGERY WITH
ANIMATION AND PERIPHERAL OBSERVATIONS. SST AROUND 30 DEGREES.
ORGANISATION HAS SLIGHTLY IMPROVED. DEEP CONVECTION HAS DECREASED IN
THE LAST 6 HOURS DUE TO DIURNAL VARIATION. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
EXTENDS TO 500HPA. SYSTEM LIES UNDER AN UPPER RIDGE IN A MODERATELY
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT.
GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND GRADUALLY MOVE IT
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WITH SOME INTENSIFICATION.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS IS MODERATE TO HIGH.
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.
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In this thread:
South Pac Bad-Boy -
JAC,
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- Perefect UL - JAC, 2/17/2011, 12:48 pm
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- Interesting - JAC, 2/17/2011, 12:36 pm
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