Re: Critical Point for Maria ? ? ?
Posted by
TuffyE on 9/12/2011, 11:10 am
It looks like the 11:00 am discussion is all over it. They see enough shear to prevent redevelopment, but do imply doubts about the effects of the troughs on the weakened system...thus a slow westward motion for now. Again, this looks like a major change that we haven't been noting and disussing here.
BTW...The 11:00 position is SOUTH-WEST of the 5:00 fix. It's effectively a different system with no model runs yet initialized. It's also just the type that the models struggle over; weak and near other features, including it's own former convection. It sure looks interesting to me. It's the second time this season that systems have had a chance to split and this one sure looks like it is going to do that in some ways. |
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Critical Point for Maria ? ? ? -
TuffyE,
9/11/2011, 12:15 pm Post A Reply
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