I've been waiting for this one: Bill's Blog: Isaac In-Depth
Posted by
cypresstx on 8/23/2012, 1:48 pm
Bill Read's Hurricane Blog
The forecast becomes more complicated this weekend into early next week. The exact track cannot be forecast with certainty this far out in time and the area depicted by the "cone" in the forecast graphic indicates the range of most likely paths for the center of Isaac. Our scientific skill at forecasting the track of a storm center works out to an average error of about 45 miles per day. By days 4 and 5, a typical error in forecasting the center location is around 200 miles. So, for this forecast as it relates to someone in south Florida, there is still plenty of uncertainty of whether it will be a hit at all, much less the degree of impacts. Per this forecast, the likelihood of the center of Isaac passing along the west coast of south Florida Sunday or Monday is only slightly higher than the likelihood of it passing over the Miami area, or of passing 100 miles offshore in the Gulf of Mexico.
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I've been waiting for this one: Bill's Blog: Isaac In-Depth - cypresstx, 8/23/2012, 1:48 pm Post A Reply
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