European scientist: How we improved our forecast model, and how it's reliant on U.S. satellite data
Posted by cypresstx on 11/9/2012, 2:59 pm
from SciGuy blog's interview of Jean-Noël Thépaut, chief of the Data Division of the Research Department at the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts - Houston Chronicle

http://blog.chron.com/sciguy/2012/11/european-scientist-how-we-improved-our-forecast-model-and-how-its-reliant-on-u-s-satellite-data/

a bit of it:

"NASA and NOAA are having difficulty planning replacements for our current satellite fleet. Does that threaten your model?

I can't send you any picture yet, but what we are doing at the moment is running an experiment where we deny all of the satellite data in the case of Hurricane Sandy, so we can see what the impact will be. The preliminary results show that the storm stays over the sea. It's basically 24 hours to slow, and it its Canada instead of New Jersey. When we finalize this little study it will really show the importance of the satellite data. That's a clear message from us, to have the satellite data, to have a state-of-the-art observing system, is key for forecasting and modeling in general.

Mike Smith, CEO of WeatherData, has said you deserve a Nobel Prize for nailing Sandy's forecast. What do you think about that?

I saw this statement, yes. It's always nice to hear, but we would be nowhere without satellite data from the United States, for example. I think it would be the numerical weather prediction community at large that would be deserving a Nobel Prize, not just the ECMWF."
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European scientist: How we improved our forecast model, and how it's reliant on U.S. satellite data - cypresstx, 11/9/2012, 2:59 pm
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