Hmmm the AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT and the Navy are suggesting otherwise
Posted by hanna on 1/10/2013, 11:17 am
This should be interesting to watch. For now Narelle is not expected to make landfall.

This from the AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH



Severe Tropical Cyclone Narelle
Issued at 9:05 pm WST Thursday 10 January 2013. Refer to Tropical Cyclone Advice Number 8.

The forecast path shown above is the Bureau's best estimate of the cyclone's future movement and intensity. There is always some uncertainty associated with tropical cyclone forecasting and the grey zone indicates the range of likely tracks of the cyclone centre.
Due to the uncertainty in the future movement, the indicated winds will almost certainly extend to regions outside the rings on this map. The extent of the warning and watch zones reflects this.
This product is designed for land-based communities; mariners should read the coastal waters and high seas warnings.

Remarks:
Severe Tropical Cyclone Narelle is expected to continue moving to the south southwest towards Northwest Cape and gradually intensify.

Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are expected to develop in coastal areas between Whim Creek and Exmouth including the Karratha area during Friday, then extend west to south to Coral Bay Saturday morning.

Winds are likely to increase further during Saturday about the west Pilbara coast becoming destructive with wind gusts over 130 kilometres per hour overnight Saturday. Very destructive winds with gusts to 250 kilometres per hour are possible near the cyclone centre.

Gales may extend south to Cape Cuvier during Sunday.

Thunderstorm activity will increase about the Pilbara coast on Friday with isolated heavy rainfall and squalls possible. Heavy falls are likely near the west Pilbara coast on Saturday and Sunday.

Tides along the west Pilbara coast are likely to rise above the normal high tide mark on Friday night and Saturday with flooding of low lying coastal areas. A very dangerous storm tide is possible Saturday night if the centre of the cyclone passes close to the coast.
DFES-State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts:
BLUE ALERT: Coastal and island communities from Whim Creek to Coral Bay including Wickham, Roebourne, Point Samson, Karratha and Dampier, Onslow, Exmouth and Coral Bay should be taking precautions.
Communities between Coral Bay and Cape Cuvier should listen for the next advice.
Name:  Severe Tropical Cyclone Narelle
Details:
 Time (WST) Intensity Category Latitude (decimal deg.) Longitude (decimal deg.) Estimated Position
Accuracy (km)
  0hr 8 pm January   10 3 16.3S 114.9E 35
+6hr 2 am January   11 3 17.1S 114.4E 60
+12hr 8 am January 11 3 17.7S 114.1E 80
+18hr 2 pm January 11 3 18.3S 113.7E 105
+24hr 8 pm January 11 4 18.9S 113.5E 130
+36hr 8 am January 12 4 20.0S 112.9E 165
+48hr 8 pm January 12 4 21.2S 112.5E 200
The next Forecast Track Map will be issued by 12:00 am WST Friday


http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDW60281.shtml



It could be me but I think NARELLE is a fine looking storm.





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The So. Hem invest now 08S.NARELLE will become a monster - hanna, 1/8/2013, 7:22 pm
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