80% chance now within five days as of 8am on September 7th
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 9/7/2013, 8:34 am
Meanwhile, Gabrielle is a little better looking. (40% chance of redevelopment into depression or higher within five days)
"TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT SEP 7 2013
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE LAST ADVISORY ON
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT...LOCATED WELL INLAND WEST OF TAMPICO
MEXICO.
1. SATELLITE AND SURFACE DATA SUGGEST THAT THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF GABRIELLE HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED
THIS MORNING. HOWEVER... THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED DUE TO STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE WHILE IT MOVES
NORTHWARD OR NORTHEASTWARD AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT OVER THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC OCEAN. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM
CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 5 DAYS.
2. A TROPICAL WAVE OVER WESTERN AFRICA IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER THE FAR
EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN ON SUNDAY...AND CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE
FOR DEVELOPMENT AFTER THAT TIME. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...BUT A HIGH CHANCE...80 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. THIS DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE WESTWARD AT AROUND 10 MPH NEAR THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS IN THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AND THEN WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE OPEN
EASTERN ATLANTIC.
FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...
HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?CODE=ETWO
FORECASTER BLAKE"
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml |
72
In this thread:
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.