Re: Lots of circles
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 9/12/2015, 5:35 am
It's a pouch:
http://www.met.nps.edu/~mtmontgo/storms2015-atlantic.html

Until there is more to work with, they don't usually have an invest. It is still 0% for 48 hours:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

Satellite:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/imagery/eatl.html
http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IPPS/html/MSG/RGB/AIRMASS/

Not a lot of convection. But more importantly, you really need a center, or something nearer to one to pick coordinates for where it is.

From 2:05am NHC Tropical Weather Discussion:

"...TROPICAL WAVES...                                            
TROPICAL WAVE EXTENDS FROM 09N25W TO 17N24W MOVING W AT 15 KT.
THE WAVE COINCIDES WITH LOW AMPLITUDE 700 MB TROUGHING S OF 14N
BETWEEN 19W-27W. WITH THE SAHARAN AIR LAYER AND DUST LARGELY
INFLUENCING THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE WAVE AND MUCH OF THE
EASTERN TROPICAL ATLC...ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION REMAINS
CONFINED TO THE MONSOON TROUGH REGION IN THE VICINITY OF THE
WAVE AXIS FROM 08N-10N BETWEEN 26W-32W."

Where you can view surface analysis:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/USA_00Z.gif
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/USA_06Z.gif
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/USA_12Z.gif
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/USA_18Z.gif
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Lots of circles - Chris in Tampa, 9/11/2015, 8:16 am
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