Re: Another Humberto possible?
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 8/23/2017, 1:43 pm
SHIPS model that takes land into account, 8am EDT run:



This was a couple of 2am EDT late cycle models:



HWRF - Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting Model
HMON (Replacement for GFDL) - Hurricane Multi-scale Ocean-coupled Non-hydrostatic model
DSHP - Decay Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) model

Those were some odd values for the first 12 hour period for the HMON and HWRF. I looked at the graphical version for the HWRF and HMON (2am EDT / 6Z) and they had trouble finding the storm early on. That must have created some odd results in the model text output from the NHC.

Graphically, the 12Z runs are available now (8am late cycle models)...

HWRF:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hwrf&region=09L&pkg=mslp_wind

HMON:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hmon&region=09L&pkg=mslp_wind

GFS:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=watl&pkg=mslp_uv850
Closeup: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=09L&pkg=mslp_uv850
Terrible in terms on rain.

Euro:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf&region=watl&pkg=mslp_uv850
12Z is just starting to come in as of posting this.
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Another Humberto possible? - LawKat, 8/23/2017, 10:59 am
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