Invest 92L at 2pm EDT on Sunday: 70% chance; TS watch may be required for Carolinas today
Posted by
Chris in Tampa on 8/27/2017, 2:40 pm
Have to keep an eye on this too. Irma is the next name on the list.
"Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 27 2017
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Harvey, located inland over southeastern Texas.
1. An elongated area of low pressure, previously located over northeast
Florida, has emerged over the western Atlantic and is now located
about 60 miles east of the coast of Georgia. Showers and
thunderstorms associated with this system have increased in
coverage and are gradually becoming better organized. The low
is likely to become a tropical depression or storm during the next
day or so before it merges with a cold front. Regardless of
development, the low is expected to cause increasing winds and rough
surf along the coasts of Georgia, the Carolinas, and Virginia
through mid-week. A tropical storm watch may be required for a
portion of the coast of North and South Carolina this afternoon.
Heavy rain is also expected to continue over portions of the Florida
peninsula during the next 24 hours. Please refer to products from
your local National Weather Service forecast office for more
information on this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
2. A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to emerge over the
far eastern Atlantic Ocean tonight or early Monday. Environmental
conditions appear to be conducive for slow development by the middle
of next week while the wave moves westward about 15 to 20 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Forecaster Roberts"
From: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5
Floater:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/92L/92L_floater.html
Wider Atlantic: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/trop-atl.html
Models:
http://hurricanecity.com/models/models.cgi?basin=al&year=2017&storm=92&latestinvest=1&display=google_map&latestrun=1
GFS:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=us&pkg=mslp_uv850
ECMWF:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf®ion=us&pkg=mslp_uv850 |
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Invest 92L at 2pm EDT on Sunday: 70% chance; TS watch may be required for Carolinas today - Chris in Tampa, 8/27/2017, 2:40 pm Post A Reply
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