Re: It's almost a certainty at this point that Texas will also receive an unprecedented Double W
Posted by
Beachlover on 8/28/2017, 1:51 am
OK, tvsteve, thanks very much for clarifying. And yes, I'm familiar with the NHC's relative success on track vs. intensity. Just didn't recognize the piece you posted as being from their track, since it wasn't labeled as such.
Anyway, with all that in mind here's the applicable bit from the 10 p.m. CDT discussion tonight (BBM):
The track guidance continues to show Harvey moving just offshore of the Texas coast on Monday, then turning northward and moving inland over northeastern Texas in 48 to 72 hours. All of the global models show some slight deepening of the system after it moves over water, but given the lack of an inner core, significant strengthening is not anticipated. The new NHC track and intensity forecasts are similar to those from the previous advisory.
Aside: I find it interesting that weather.com is calling for 80 and 90% chances of thunderstorms here in the far western FL Panhandle for Tuesday through Friday. I note the cone of uncertainty is bending toward us slightly more....and I suppose the circulation could bring us some outlying bands, especially while the storm is still drawing moisture from the nearby Gulf. |
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