8 AM Mon - 80% 5-day
Posted by cypresstx on 7/8/2019, 7:39 am
a westward trend in the models? some Southern Region NWS WFOs mentioning tropical chances in long-term discussions this morning, QPF increasing

https://www.weather.gov/srh/tropical
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/#page=qpf
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

7-day loop isn't currently updated for all days https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/day0-7loop.html

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jul 8 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A trough of low pressure located over central Georgia is forecast to
move southward toward the northeastern Gulf of Mexico, where a broad
area of low pressure is expected to form in a couple of days. Some
gradual development is possible thereafter and a tropical depression
is likely to form by the end of the week while the low meanders near
the northern Gulf Coast. Regardless of development, this system has
the potential to produce heavy rainfall along portions of the
northern and eastern U.S. Gulf Coast later this week. For more
information about the rainfall threat, please see products issued by
your local weather forecast office and the NOAA Weather Prediction
Center. Interests along the northern Gulf Coast and the Florida
peninsula should monitor the progress of this system.
Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.
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Birth of Barry? - AlligatorPointer, 7/7/2019, 2:16 pm
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