Atmosphere is primed
Posted by JAC on 6/10/2009, 7:52 am
Shear is a combination of upper and lower winds. When a TC forms, the lower winds circulate in a CCW direction; no longer in a unified single direction. So, the lower wind component of the shear goes away. UL winds are key to watch. 15 knots is not too bad. A good hot-tower can redirect that and possibly form an anti-cyclone. If an anti-cyclone forms, then the upper-component of shear goes away as well. Currently in the West Carib: MSLP at 29.87" Ozone shows a high tropopause. Ready for a warm-core to form. Actually, GOM ozone is abnormally low as well.  |
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GFS & CMC Back on for West Carib Development - JAC, 6/10/2009, 5:56 am
- SCATs show LLC at 12N 76W - JAC, 6/11/2009, 7:47 am
- I just noticed - Cat5 Gen is at 29C - JAC, 6/10/2009, 8:42 pm
- Tagged 1009mb at 11N 80W - JAC, 6/10/2009, 6:58 pm
- 17N76W Here You Go... - Target, 6/11/2009, 12:04 am
- Re: 17N76W Here You Go... - Target, 6/11/2009, 12:15 am
- Re: 17N76W Here You Go... - Target, 6/11/2009, 2:04 am
- Looks like a spinning overshooting cu-nimb settling in at 14.5N 75.5W - JAC, 6/11/2009, 9:08 am
- Might hang here for a while - JAC, 6/11/2009, 9:17 am
- Re: 17N76W Here You Go... - JAC, 6/11/2009, 7:17 am
- Looks like a spinning overshooting cu-nimb settling in at 14.5N 75.5W - JAC, 6/11/2009, 9:08 am
- Re: 17N76W Here You Go... - Target, 6/11/2009, 2:04 am
- Re: 17N76W Here You Go... - Target, 6/11/2009, 12:15 am
- 17N76W Here You Go... - Target, 6/11/2009, 12:04 am
- HPC puts genesis 42 to 54 hrs near San Andres Is - JAC, 6/10/2009, 3:28 pm
- CMC has genesis Saturday with a deep Warm-Core in the GOM - JAC, 6/10/2009, 2:05 pm
- NHC getting bead on it - JAC, 6/10/2009, 1:52 pm
- WindSAT shows LLC at 11N 77W - JAC, 6/10/2009, 12:00 pm
- Dang - that circulation looks good - JAC, 6/10/2009, 2:51 pm
- Surface Obs - JAC, 6/10/2009, 2:35 pm
- This Morning's WV - JAC, 6/10/2009, 8:32 am
- Re: This Morning's WV - BobbiStorm, 6/10/2009, 12:17 pm
- Broad vorticity at the top of the boundary layer - JAC, 6/10/2009, 8:46 am
- HPC Discussion - JAC, 6/10/2009, 6:19 am
- Shear starts to diminish in 48 hrs - JAC, 6/10/2009, 6:13 am
- Re: Shear starts to diminish in 48 hrs - BobbiStorm, 6/10/2009, 7:40 am
- Meant to say SW of Jamaica - JAC, 6/10/2009, 6:21 am
- Re: Shear starts to diminish in 48 hrs - BobbiStorm, 6/10/2009, 7:40 am
- NAM on Board - JAC, 6/10/2009, 6:02 am
- Maybe a TS south of Cuba in 78 hrs - JAC, 6/10/2009, 6:07 am
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