Not so fast Jac
Posted by jack ruby on 7/20/2009, 1:07 pm
After days of being skeptical about this and the previous system, I'm a little more optimistic this morning. As I stated in other threads, its undergoing the worst of the shear right now. As you stated in another thread, there is some moderate upper level high down the road in the central carib. And finally, I wouldn't be too concerned about that recent blow off to the north (interaction with some of the worst of the shear there), yet further south the blob of convective activity remains essentially intact. As a matter of fact, if cyclogenesis does occur, I look for it to occur a little further south than what at first appeared likely with the previous system and also this one. Look for possible development in the E Carib at about 12 N if development does occur there at all.
93
In this thread:
Not a Healthy Sign for 97L - JAC, 7/20/2009, 12:57 pm
< Return to the front page of the: message board | monthly archive this page is in
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.