Link: http://www.newsobserver.com/content/print/front_pdf/1-A-Sat-July-25-09.pdf
Weather experts are contemplating a new mystery of the deep blue sea: why it's been deeper than usual at high tide all along the East Coast for the past several weeks.
Since June, tides have been running from 6 inches to 2 feet above what would normally be expected, even considering seasonal and lunar fluctuations. While local tidal changes are not uncommon, researchers for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration aren't sure they have ever recorded an event like this one, which is showing up all the way from Maine to Florida. In North Carolina, tides have been about a foot above normal predictions.
"Right now we're trying to get a better understanding of what's the cause," said Mike Szabados, director of NOAA's tide and current program in Silver Spring, Md.
Global warming isn't to blame, scientists say, as the rise was too sudden. Possibly, Szabados said, the explanation lies in something called the North Atlantic oscillation, a disturbance in the atmospheric pressure in the area of the North Atlantic Ocean between the Icelandic Low and the Azores High.
A change in the atmospheric pressure can change wind velocities and directions, which can affect ocean circulation, Szabados said.
NOAA monitors sea level at more than 200 stations along U.S. coastlines. Remote sensors mounted on piers and other structures measure water depth acoustically, sending a signal to the bottom and calculating the time it takes to bounce back. NOAA gets the readings in real time.
Using less scientific methods, boat captains may have noticed they're coming in to dock higher than usual or that it's been easier to navigate shallows behind barrier islands.
The higher tides have also flooded the nests of shore birds and sea turtles close to the water line. The higher water brings an increased risk of rip tides. And if a tropical storm or hurricane strikes before the phenomenon subsides, damage near the shore could be magnified.
North Carolina has more than 300 miles of ocean shoreline, with more than 250,000 insured properties in 18 coastal counties.
The surge peaked in the third week of June, at the same time the coast was experiencing a high spring tide, and ocean water pushed into places it isn't usually seen in the absence of a tropical storm. It washed over a bulkhead at the end of Harbor Island, something Joe Abbate, a wildlife biologist who runs Wrightsville Beach Scenic Tours and Taxi Service, had never seen before.
"It was weird," said Abbate, who goes by Cap'n Joe.
One evening, he said, he took a group out for a nature tour on his beach catamaran, the Shamrock, and was surprised to see the water over the top of marsh grasses.
It had swept out a bunch of trash, he said, and lifted a pair of baby clapper rails with their mother on a mat of dead spartina grass.
"Rails are not very good fliers," Abbate said. "They're kind of limited in what they can do."
Not nice for turtle nests
Some of the thousands of volunteers who patrol North Carolina beaches for sea turtle nests during the summer have noticed the higher tides because they've had to relocate nests higher on the beach to keep the eggs from being repeatedly submerged.
In a normal year, Nancy Busovne, coordinator for the Pleasure Island Sea Turtle Project, said she and her volunteers would have to relocate about half the turtle nests they find to save the eggs. This year, they've moved five of the seven nests laid so far.
And during that week in June when the surge combined with a high spring tide, Busovne said, friends who live on the canal side of the island had several inches of water in their house when the tide came in.
"That's very unusual," Busovne said.
Szabados said that while the surge has diminished, it hasn't disappeared, and researchers don't know when it will. |