Re: LINK??? n/t
Posted by
Gianmarc on 8/20/2009, 11:57 pm
To compare the LIE with Accuweather's hype of Bill is to compare billy goats to minivans. We couldn't even see the storm on satellite in 1938, no less have access to computer models. They hardly knew where the LIE was half the time and only thanks to reports from the ground off the Carolina and Jersey shore did mets gradually begin to accept that Long Island was the bull's eye. Obviously that would not be the case today, when we rely not only on models to foresee steering patterns but also on things like the WV loop to show us what the ridges and troughs are right now and make sense of a storm's direction and anticipate a general destination.
If Bill were a serious threat to the NE we would almost certainly know by now because we would be watching a pattern unfold to send the storm that way--just as there was broad certainty in 1992 that Andrew would get kicked back west by a building ridge to its north or that the same would happen to Jeanne in 2004 once she get stuck north of the Carib. This is not 1938.
Even so, no technology exists that could possibly combat the wide-spread jadedness and skepticism that pervades throughout the NE when it comes to hurricane season. I grew up in Brooklyn NY and lived there for most of my life, and I can tell you that the vast majority of people I knew up there would gladly sit in a beach hut just as a Cat 2 swept ashore, just because they think hurricanes in the NE are like polar bears in the congo--you just don't see it. They are flat wrong, of course, but try getting them to believe it. Good luck. |
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