Latest on the Arctic
Posted by Mike_Doran on 8/23/2009, 11:11 pm
As you know I think that CO2 has conductivity meaning (water with CO2 dissolved in it is 4-10 times more conductive than pure water) and that's how climate is forced by fossil fuels. To show my theory, when the global electrical circuit is at its max, which is basically now until mid October, that is when CO2 as a forcing will show up and mean anything. By simple electrics, Power Equals Current Squared Times Resistance, and so with a strong current flowing in the global electrical circuit during the time of year of max lightning, the change in resistance brought about by CO2 will appear. Okay--that's the theory.

Now, last time we had these kind of endless days of the sun going without spots was 1912-1914, and the Atlantic tropical storm season was really suppressed. This year it has been suppress at the start, but now that we are at peak lightning, we have had two named storms already. So in a way you have a control and then an input variable--human activiity, to see what occurs. If you don't buy this, here is another interesting observation:





What's interesting is we haven't had a sun spot now for 43 days. The last one brought about the C and D storms in the EPAC and the greatest rate of melting in the Arctic ever recorded for July. What we have now presently is a clear change in the rate of melting. It's still near two SD from normal, and a big melting year compared to the 20 year average, but the Arctic does seem sensitive to the sun spots. At the same time if you compare and contrast what is going on in the Arctic to this winter when the ice melted back to the 20 year average and a number of RWN websites where arguing that the melting Arctic and the predicted demise of the polar bear was a left wing fraud--you can see that if indeed the forcing is electrical that during the winter when the global electrical circuit is at its lowest, the varied forcing from CO2 would not be expressed, and the ice comes back. The deviations from normal predictably occur during peak lightning.

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Interesting new research on the quiet sun - Mike_Doran, 8/23/2009, 1:20 am
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