In Gulf of Mex. looking around 20N and 95W
Posted by
jack ruby on 9/12/2009, 9:52 am
The whole area is under a yellow circle, but after reading the NHC Discussion this morning and looking at sat loops, I would favor these coordinates for possible development, if it does occur. The Discussion says this:
AN UPPER TROUGH
EXTENDS FROM THE DESERT SW OVER TEXAS/MEXICO ALONG THE RIO
GRANDE TO NEAR THE 1008 SURFACE LOW WHILE AN UPPER RIDGE EXTENDS
FROM VERACRUZ MEXICO TO NE FLORIDA.
I think that upper level conditions near the 1008 surface low between Corpus and Brownsville are not as conducive for development (upper trough). However further south, where there still is much thunderstorm activity, there is an upper ridge from Vera Cruz toward Fl. I favor this area further south for possible development (19N 95W) or thereabouts. Here's the sat loop where thunderstorms are tending to gather in that area.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/flash-avn.html |
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In Gulf of Mex. looking around 20N and 95W - jack ruby, 9/12/2009, 9:52 am Post A Reply
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