Latest JTWC: 145 knot winds
Posted by JAC on 10/3/2009, 10:31 pm
WTPN34 PGTW 040300
MSGID/GENADMIN/NAVMARFCSTCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/JTWC//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//
RMKS/
1. SUPER TYPHOON 20W (MELOR) WARNING NR 020    
  02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN NORTHWESTPAC
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   ---
  WARNING POSITION:
  040000Z --- NEAR 16.6N 142.3E
    MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
    POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 025 NM
    POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
  PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 085 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  REPEAT POSIT: 16.6N 142.3E
   ---
  FORECASTS:
  12 HRS, VALID AT:
  041200Z --- 17.6N 139.5E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 145 KT, GUSTS 175 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 185 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           130 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           185 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 14 KTS
   ---
  24 HRS, VALID AT:
  050000Z --- 18.7N 136.8E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 140 KT, GUSTS 170 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           135 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 310 DEG/ 14 KTS
   ---
  36 HRS, VALID AT:
  051200Z --- 20.6N 134.5E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 330 DEG/ 16 KTS
   ---
  EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
  48 HRS, VALID AT:
  060000Z --- 23.3N 132.8E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 175 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 19 KTS
   ---
  72 HRS, VALID AT:
  070000Z --- 30.4N 135.2E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 130 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
                           105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
                           075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
                           120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
  VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 22 KTS
   ---
  LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
  NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
  ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
  NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
   ---
  96 HRS, VALID AT:
  080000Z --- 36.4N 143.2E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
  VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 38 KTS
   ---
  120 HRS, VALID AT:
  090000Z --- 45.0N 160.0E
  MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT
  WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
  EXTRATROPICAL
   ---
REMARKS:
040300Z POSITION NEAR 16.9N 141.6E.
SUPER TYPHOON (STY) 20W (MELOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 210 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF SAIPAN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST
SIX HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS A 30 NM WIDE,
CLOUD-FREE, VERY WELL-DEFINED WITH EXCELLENT RADIAL OUTFLOW TO ALL
QUADRANTS. THE SYSTEM HAS CONTINUED TO TRACK GENERALLY WESTWARD AT
AROUND 14 KNOTS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE MID TO UPPER-
LEVEL SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOCATED TO THE NORTH. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT
WAVE HEIGHT AT 040000Z IS 39 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 040900Z,
041500Z, 042100Z AND 050300Z. REFER TO TYPHOON 19W (PARMA) WARNINGS
(WTPN33 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//
NNNN
49
In this thread:
Melor the Monster - a solid Cat5, 914mb and dropping - JAC, 10/3/2009, 9:25 pm
< Return to the front page of the: message board | monthly archive this page is in
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.