ST Melor to be slowing down.
Posted by
hanna on 10/5/2009, 10:16 am
According to CIMSS Melor will have slowed down to 95 kts long before hitting Tokyo. Japanese Metrology Agency agrees. I hope Melor drops even lower.
TY 0918 (Melor)
Issued at 12:50 UTC, 5 October 2009
Analyses at 05/12 UTC
Scale -
Intensity Very Intense
Center position N20°00'(20.0°)
E133°35'(133.6°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 25km/h(13kt)
Central pressure 910hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(110kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 80m/s(155kt)
Area of 50kt winds or more Wide 190km(100NM)
Area of 30kt winds or more NE560km(300NM)
SW390km(210NM)
Forecast for 06/00 UTC
Intensity Very Intense
Center position of probability circle N21°55'(21.9°)
E131°25'(131.4°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 25km/h(14kt)
Central pressure 910hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(110kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 80m/s(155kt)
Radius of probability circle 90km(50NM)
Storm warning area Wide 280km(150NM)
Forecast for 06/12 UTC
Intensity Very Intense
Center position of probability circle N24°30'(24.5°)
E130°25'(130.4°)
Direction and speed of movement NNW 25km/h(14kt)
Central pressure 915hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 55m/s(105kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 75m/s(150kt)
Radius of probability circle 150km(80NM)
Storm warning area Wide 310km(170NM)
Forecast for 07/12 UTC
Intensity Very Strong
Center position of probability circle N29°20'(29.3°)
E132°30'(132.5°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 25km/h(13kt)
Central pressure 930hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 50m/s(100kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70m/s(140kt)
Radius of probability circle 330km(180NM)
Storm warning area Wide 480km(260NM)
Forecast for 08/12 UTC
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N36°05'(36.1°)
E137°25'(137.4°)
Direction and speed of movement NNE 35km/h(20kt)
Central pressure 970hPa
Maximum wind speed near the center 35m/s(65kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50m/s(95kt)
Radius of probability circle 460km(250NM)
Storm warning area Wide 540km(290NM)
http://www.intellicast.com/Global/Satellite/Infrared.aspx?location=CHXX0406&enlarge=true
http://www.intellicast.com/Global/Satellite/Infrared.aspx?location=CHXX0406&enlarge=true |
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In this thread:
Melor the Monster - a solid Cat5, 914mb and dropping -
JAC,
10/3/2009, 9:25 pm- Forecast now is for Cat2 at landfall near Hamamatsu - JAC, 10/6/2009, 7:27 am
- Possible Cat1 hit for Tokyo - shear dropping along forecasted track - JAC, 10/5/2009, 7:27 am
- Now 8C Core - still Cat5 - JAC, 10/5/2009, 7:17 am
- ST Melor to be slowing down. - hanna, 10/5/2009, 10:16 am
- Jim Edds chasing Melor on Saipan - JAC, 10/4/2009, 10:07 pm
- Over 24 Hrs at Cat 5 - JAC, 10/4/2009, 9:25 pm
- Latest JTWC: 145 knot winds - JAC, 10/3/2009, 10:31 pm
- EURO shows direct hit on Japan - JAC, 10/3/2009, 10:27 pm
- A super hot-tower on the eyewall - JAC, 10/3/2009, 10:05 pm
- Could start eating dry air in about 24 hrs - JAC, 10/3/2009, 9:57 pm
- That's Hot - CX, 10/3/2009, 9:45 pm
- Continuing to Intensify - strong 37GHz Ring - JAC, 10/3/2009, 9:41 pm
- Strongest Outflow Channel is Equatorward - JAC, 10/3/2009, 9:38 pm
- Still Shooting Hot Towers in Feeder Bands - JAC, 10/3/2009, 9:36 pm
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