High Risk for Tornadoes
Posted by
JAC on 5/24/2010, 1:35 pm
http://w1.spc.woc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0213.html
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 213 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1120 AM MDT MON MAY 24 2010 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEBRASKA WESTERN AND CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA EXTREME SOUTHEAST WYOMING EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1120 AM UNTIL 800 PM MDT. TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF MOBRIDGE SOUTH DAKOTA TO 15 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF SIDNEY NEBRASKA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 212... DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS JUST BEGINNING ACROSS EXTREME NE CO/SE WY AND THE NEB PANHANDLE. THIS CONVECTION WILL LIKELY EVOLVE INTO DISCRETE SUPERCELLS IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR AND MODERATE INSTABILITY...IN ADVANCE OF A NEGATIVE TILT SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND SURFACE LOW MOVING NNEWD FROM CO. THE COMBINATION OF BOUNDARY LAYER DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 60S AND ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL SHEAR NEAR THE SURFACE WARM FRONT WILL ENHANCE THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES...INCLUDING AN ISOLATED STRONG TORNADO OR TWO...AS WELL AS VERY LARGE HAIL. OTHERWISE...CONVECTION MAY EVOLVE MORE INTO CLUSTERS WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES BY LATE AFTERNOON...WITH THE ADDITIONAL THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.
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In this thread:
Another Rough Day for SD & NE Today -
JAC,
5/24/2010, 10:12 am- Cool Pictures - JAC, 5/25/2010, 7:05 am
- Steve Miller chasing nasty tornado-warned cell NE of Amarillo - JAC, 5/24/2010, 5:50 pm
- Tornado near Woods KS - JAC, 5/24/2010, 3:31 pm
- A widespread event - TX to MN - JAC, 5/24/2010, 3:15 pm
- High Risk for Tornadoes - JAC, 5/24/2010, 1:35 pm
- MD Discussion - Uncapped STP - JAC, 5/24/2010, 1:29 pm
- Shear mostly wind-speed variation with height (limited helicity). Cap breaks mid afternoon. - JAC, 5/24/2010, 10:33 am
- Strong Negative Tilt & Surface Low - JAC, 5/24/2010, 10:27 am
- RUC: Sharp height falls. Uncapped CAPE = 3500 - JAC, 5/24/2010, 10:20 am
- SREF - Strong forecasted shear - JAC, 5/24/2010, 10:17 am
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