CaneTalk: Intensity

Intensity

Posted by JAC on 6/21/2010, 2:30 pm

SHIPS

- Keeps shear very low thru its forecast period.
- Water getting up to 29.5C
- Could get a big theta-e boost in about 60 hrs.
- Probability for RI = 49%

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/stext/10062112AL9310_ships.txt

http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/
On that page in the section titled "North Atlantic Basin" look for "Early-cycle intensity guidance". To the right of that, click "frame 1".

In this thread:

93L Up in East Carib - JAC, 6/21/2010, 10:21 am

Re: 93L Up in East Carib - BobbiStorm, 6/21/2010, 11:33 pm
IF...there were no models developing this - BobbiStorm, 6/21/2010, 10:08 pm
- Re: IF...there were no models developing this - JAC, 6/21/2010, 10:23 pm
  - Re: IF...there were no models developing this - BobbiStorm, 6/21/2010, 10:25 pm
    - GFDL Brings 93L Into Spill - Target, 6/21/2010, 11:21 pm
      - Re: GFDL Brings 93L Into Spill - BobbiStorm, 6/21/2010, 11:30 pm
Up To 50% - CX, 6/21/2010, 8:00 pm
Prediction for tomorrow: RED CIRCLE - LawKat, 6/21/2010, 7:17 pm
- from a WU blog: Whoever did something to Mother Natures Cornflakes...please apologize immediately! - CypressTX, 6/21/2010, 8:52 pm
  - Re: from a WU blog: Whoever did something to Mother Natures Cornflakes...please apologize immediatel - CX, 6/21/2010, 8:55 pm
    - Re: from a WU blog: Whoever did something to Mother Natures Cornflakes...please apologize immedi - CypressTX, 6/21/2010, 10:48 pm
      - Re: from a WU blog: Whoever did something to Mother Natures Cornflakes...please apologize immedi - James g, 6/22/2010, 2:00 am
- Re: Prediction for tomorrow: RED CIRCLE - Slamdaddy, 6/21/2010, 8:03 pm
Really consolidating back near 12.8N, 67.0W - LawKat, 6/21/2010, 6:49 pm
- Core is heating up and better organized - JAC, 6/21/2010, 7:06 pm
  - Re: Core is heating up and better organized - hillsboroughweather, 6/21/2010, 7:14 pm
    - Re: Core is heating up and better organized - JAC, 6/21/2010, 8:27 pm
      - Re: Core is heating up and better organized - hillsboroughweather, 6/21/2010, 9:05 pm
  - LLC Yet? - CX, 6/21/2010, 7:09 pm
    - Re: LLC Yet? - JAC, 6/21/2010, 8:28 pm
      - Re: LLC Yet? - CX, 6/21/2010, 8:30 pm
        Here it is - better organized at 14.9N, 70W - JAC, 6/21/2010, 9:05 pm
        Re: Here it is - better organized at 14.9N, 70W - Conclue, 6/21/2010, 10:06 pm
        Re: Here it is - better organized at 14.9N, 70W - CX, 6/21/2010, 9:13 pm
        Lucked out, just got a GOES Sounder Skew-T at 15N 70W thru the clouds. - JAC, 6/21/2010, 9:19 pm
        Re: LLC Yet? - JAC, 6/21/2010, 8:56 pm
        Re: LLC Yet? - CX, 6/21/2010, 9:03 pm
        Re: LLC Yet? - JAC, 6/21/2010, 9:10 pm
- Re: Really consolidating back near 12.8N, 67.0W - JAC, 6/21/2010, 7:03 pm
- Re: Really consolidating back near 12.8N, 67.0W - aquaRN, 6/21/2010, 6:59 pm
  - Re: Really consolidating back near 12.8N, 67.0W - stormlover, 6/21/2010, 7:03 pm
Orange Box - JAC, 6/21/2010, 1:53 pm
ASCT is showing no surface circulation under 93L . Its back toward 9N 57W - JAC, 6/21/2010, 12:01 pm
- Latest ASCAT just came in - JAC, 6/21/2010, 3:35 pm
  - And here is the LLC Analysis - JAC, 6/21/2010, 3:43 pm
- Winds out of the west at Isle de Margarita, Venezuela - JAC, 6/21/2010, 12:17 pm
Recon Wednesday - JAC, 6/21/2010, 11:53 am
First Look at Guidance - JAC, 6/21/2010, 10:44 am
- Intensity - JAC, 6/21/2010, 2:30 pm
- Shear Forecast --> Anti-cyclone in the West Carib - JAC, 6/21/2010, 2:16 pm
- Recurve could come from a strong Canadian Maritime Low eroding the Bermuda High - JAC, 6/21/2010, 1:03 pm
Need to keep an eye to the SE - JAC, 6/21/2010, 10:37 am
- Re: Need to keep an eye to the SE - jack ruby, 6/21/2010, 11:59 am
Re: 93L Up in East Carib - Hurricanelov3r, 6/21/2010, 10:22 am
- Re: 93L Up in East Carib - JAC, 6/21/2010, 10:25 am

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