Re: Briefly Colin no Surprise / Eastern Carib Disturb
Posted by Jake on 8/3/2010, 11:40 pm
The area of convection has now moved over the open waters of the east / central carib. The area has been labeled an invest with an associated 1009mb. The upper level pattern is conducive for this to increase across the central and western carib, as an upper level high is sitting over the system with 10kts or less of shear. Think this needs to be watched as it heads towards western or central cuba and GOM, due to an unusually strong upper level trough across the eastern US. The weakness will allow a NW track and eventually into the GOM.

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TD - 4 / Eastern Carib Disturbance - Jake, 8/2/2010, 11:59 pm
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