Re: IVEST 94 is up
Posted by
DTB_2009 on 8/8/2010, 6:38 pm
Here's the New Orleans discussion...
.MARINE... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WILL KEEP GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS AND SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS.
THERE ARE STILL MODEL DIFFERENCES WITH REGARDS TO STRENGTH AND TIMING OF LOW PRESSURE /AL94/ THAT IS EXPECTED CROSS FLORIDA FROM THE ATLANTIC AND MOVE INTO THE EASTERN OR NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO LATE TOMORROW OR EARLY TUESDAY. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO TRACK WEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF...POSSIBLY NEARING THE LOUISIANA COAST LATE WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY. ALTHOUGH THERE IS PLENTY OF VERY WARM WATER IN THE GULF...THE SHEAR ENVIRONMENT /AT LEAST INITIALLY/ AND DRY AIR NOW PUSHING SOUTH ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA WILL BE INHIBITORS FOR ANYTHING MORE THAN SLOW DEVELOPMENT TOWARDS A TROPICAL OR SUB-TROPICAL CYCLONE.
HAVE INCREASED WINDS AND SEAS BASED ON A BLEND OF THE ECMWF AND GFS DURING THE LATE TUESDAY THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY...MAINLY EAST OF SOUTHWEST PASS. EASTERLY WINDS OVER THE EASTERN WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO NEAR 15 KNOTS LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 3 TO 4 FEET. WINDS AND SEAS WILL EASE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS THE LOW WEAKENS. 22/TD
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IVEST 94 is up -
stormlover,
8/8/2010, 11:58 am Post A Reply
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