Re: Discussion
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 9/1/2010, 11:32 pm
I thought it would contain more. I was a little surprised they only went with 140 mph and think they should have upped the 12 h intensity forecast some. Those winds take a while to catch up to the pressure. 199 mph winds were found while the dropsonde made its way down. I was looking at some obs from three years ago from category Dean and Felix and they had 205 mph and 214 mph winds respectively from dropsondes on the way down and those storms were stronger. Every storm is different, but I think this storm will have its winds catch up a little over night. We'll see what the Air Force finds in about two hours.
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11 pm track & warnings - CypressTX, 9/1/2010, 10:59 pm
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