Give it another 12hrs
Posted by Jake on 9/22/2010, 11:12 pm
DM,

95L is begining to gather this evening. And here the reasons why it will not be denied.

Deep layer moisture in place.

OHC is extreme across central / western carib

Shear is low.

Anticyclone over the western carib

Outflow sufficient and improving.

Cyclonic rototion in the cloud pattern.

850-700-500MB Vorticity stacked

Low pressure center 1007mb

Research Mission Aircraft checking system (Found a conducive Environment)

There is a hindering factor, proximity to S. America restricting inflow from the south. Once the core moves over open waters of the SW Carib this should take off. Give it another 12hrs.
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Invest or Just Plain Rain? - Doorman, 9/22/2010, 5:31 pm
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