West Carib Yellow Box
Posted by JAC on 10/7/2010, 8:34 am



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU OCT 7 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON SUBTROPICAL
STORM OTTO...LOCATED ABOUT 235 MILES NORTHEAST OF GRAND TURK
ISLAND AND ABOUT 635 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

1. A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH IS PRODUCING AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL CARIBBEAN SEA ABOUT MIDWAY
BETWEEN HONDURAS AND JAMAICA. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE...
IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES SOUTHWARD AT 10 TO 15
MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NNNN



NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
237 AM EDT THU OCT 7 2010

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
THE LONG RANGE MODELS ARE STILL SHOWING A DISTURBANCE OVER THE
WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TO MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH CUBA AND INTO THE
BAHAMA ISLANDS EARLY TO MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...AS A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THIS COULD BRING
IN SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS TO THE AREA FOR EARLY TO MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK...BUT THE DEEP MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROPICAL
DISTURBANCE SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH OF THE CWA DURING THIS TIME.

DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE...54/BNB




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West Carib Yellow Box - JAC, 10/7/2010, 8:34 am
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