Re: Latest Ensembles still west of Benchmark
Posted by
JAC on 1/10/2011, 8:11 am
I don't think GFS has this well initialized.
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/06/index_pcp_m_loop.shtml
Doesn't really show this spinning up until east of SC.
RUC currently has it at 1010mb and shows it holding up better going across FL than GFS.
I think it may bomb earlier than forecast.
RUC has a nice finger of theta-e infeed latching onto it.
Check that forecasted 150-knot jet in 54 hrs just to the SW of the low.





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In this thread:
significant/very significant Snowstorm/Blizzard for Northeast Tue/Wed?? -
Fred,
1/8/2011, 5:19 pm- Re: significant/very significant Snowstorm/Blizzard for Northeast Tue/Wed?? - Conclue, 1/12/2011, 3:09 pm
- Re: significant/very significant Snowstorm/Blizzard for Northeast Tue/Wed?? - Fred, 1/12/2011, 7:38 am
- 2:45pm 1/11/11 update - Fred, 1/11/2011, 3:15 pm
- SREF: 12" on LI - JAC, 1/10/2011, 6:40 pm
- 12Z NAM & GFS getting agressive (NAM bombs it) - JAC, 1/10/2011, 2:47 pm
- 06Z NCEP Ensembles - JAC, 1/10/2011, 10:34 am
- Watch the Juice Loop - JAC, 1/10/2011, 9:48 am
- hey fred - nyjames11955, 1/9/2011, 2:31 pm
- Here we go - EMC ensembles shift west - JAC, 1/9/2011, 8:30 am
- 00Z GFS - JAC, 1/9/2011, 6:50 am
- NAM Accumulation - JAC, 1/9/2011, 6:12 am
- Latest SREF really picking up on it. GFS nada. - JAC, 1/8/2011, 6:42 pm
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