Re: Model preformance
Posted by kfarrell on 8/23/2011, 10:55 am
If you take out the out of family models the average error on predicted position is from the multiple models is ;
24 hours 67-112 miles
48 hours 84-173 miles
72 hours 84-193 miles
96 hours 59-194 hours

With the size and predicted magnitude of this storm, I don't think anyone on the east coast of Florida should take the storm for granted. 60 miles further east makes a big difference in where you are at in the wind feild of the storm.
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Model preformance - Fred, 8/23/2011, 9:01 am
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