Re: Check this dicussion out.....
Posted by
Conclue on 8/24/2011, 11:59 am
The models have changed up alot in terms of the synoptic weather regime. The high is more pronounced at the lower levels and further west and north. (The ATL that is) which is consistent with the negative phase of the NAO which has been forecasted fhrough the period.
The 6z gfs has Irene going due north after outter banks because it misses the trough and the high is too big. 5880m heights are more displaced westward in the Atlantic as pressures have been rising. 12z is still coming out but it shows a less amplified trough in the jet but more shortwave troughs barely enough to grab a hold of a monster like Irene.
This is gonna be a nightmare to forecast from now untill it makes land fall. The UL is messy through the period. There's a large trough formiming off the SW CONUS right now. I wanna see how the rest of the model looks lol
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Check this dicussion out..... -
Shalista,
8/24/2011, 11:45 am Post A Reply
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