Re: HPC Friday afternoon discussion on 96L
Posted by DTB_2009 on 6/22/2012, 8:31 pm
00Z BAM Models initialized NE of the 18Z location and they now follow the ECMWF, UKMET, and Canadian with a slow north then west drift.

803  

WHXX01 KWBC 230017  

CHGHUR  

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE  

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL  

0017 UTC SAT JUN 23 2012  

 

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.  

PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE  

AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.  

 

ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR  

 

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL962012) 20120623 0000 UTC  

 

       ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...  

       120623  0000   120623  1200   120624  0000   120624  1200  

 

        LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON  

BAMS    23.3N  87.9W   24.6N  88.7W   25.7N  89.3W   26.2N  89.8W  

BAMD    23.3N  87.9W   24.4N  87.9W   25.7N  88.1W   26.6N  88.5W  

BAMM    23.3N  87.9W   24.4N  88.3W   25.4N  88.5W   26.0N  88.8W  

LBAR    23.3N  87.9W   24.4N  88.2W   25.8N  88.3W   26.9N  88.4W  

SHIP        30KTS          36KTS          44KTS          49KTS  

DSHP        30KTS          36KTS          44KTS          49KTS  

 

       ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...  

       120625  0000   120626  0000   120627  0000   120628  0000  

 

        LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON  

BAMS    25.9N  90.2W   23.7N  91.5W   22.6N  92.9W   23.1N  95.0W  

BAMD    27.1N  89.1W   26.5N  90.6W   26.3N  91.8W   26.6N  92.7W  

BAMM    26.1N  89.0W   24.9N  90.0W   24.1N  90.6W   24.5N  91.9W  

LBAR    27.4N  88.2W   27.4N  87.1W   28.9N  84.8W   31.1N  80.5W  

SHIP        53KTS          59KTS          57KTS          51KTS  

DSHP        53KTS          59KTS          57KTS          51KTS  

 

        ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...  

LATCUR =  23.3N LONCUR =  87.9W DIRCUR =   0DEG SPDCUR =   4KT  

LATM12 =  22.6N LONM12 =  88.1W DIRM12 =  37DEG SPDM12 =   4KT  

LATM24 =  22.0N LONM24 =  88.7W  

WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =  150NM WNDM12 =   25KT  

CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD =  225NM SDEPTH =   M  

RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM  

 

$$  

NNNN  
96
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HPC Friday afternoon discussion on 96L - DTB_2009, 6/22/2012, 3:57 pm
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