Re: Model Discussion on Future Systems
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 8/6/2013, 8:24 pm
Something might popup that we don't expect, but the models are not pinpointing anything yet.

I have not looked at the models too much, but there's not much most of the time I have looked.

Last 4 runs of GFS as of 18Z on 6th:
http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/tpm/emchurr/tcgen/tcgif/track.gfso.2013080618.tc_atl_ll.4cyc.png
From: http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/tpm/emchurr/tcgen/
(maybe a small low from the SW Carib in a week, but it just started that it seems so nothing notable there yet)

Go out further on the GFS and you have something perhaps in two weeks:
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/
(But that is way, way, way out there.)

Even the Canadian doesn't have much:
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
Although as usual, it gives something:
http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/tpm/emchurr/tcgen/tcgif/track.cmc.2013080612.tc_atl_ll.4cyc.png
(Last 2 runs of CMC as of 12Z on 6th)

There is a lot of moisture over Africa, but there is a lot of dust and dry air out there too still:
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/salmain.php?&prod=splitE&time

Tropical Cyclone Formation Probability Product:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/TCFP/atlantic.html
I like the charts at the bottom.
128
In this thread:
Model Discussion on Future Systems - BobbiStorm, 8/6/2013, 8:41 am
< Return to the front page of the: message board | monthly archive this page is in
Post A Reply
This thread has been archived and can no longer receive replies.