posted this last week
Posted by Shalista on 8/12/2013, 10:21 am
about my thoughts on things within the basin:

"Posted by Shalista on 8/6/2013, 10:35 am

The Bermuda high is sitting in it's place and will not budge which will cause hostile conditions for that part of the atlantic.  Looking at the shear forecast models, it looks like there will not be any storm development in the next 10 days as the area is still a hostile enviornment for development, not to mention there is still SAL coming off of Africa.  The ITCZ is in a lower latitude, looking at WV lopps, and it looks that if anything were to develop, it would be somewhere in the carribean, and looking at stearing winds indicates that Mexico would most like be hit with a system should it develop.  Perhaps by mid to late August conditions may improve for tropical development as we get into the peak of the season.

There will be more tropical development on the E Pacific side of the house more than the Atlantic side due to the ITCZ convection and stearing level winds moving through central America."
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Global models hinting at potential Central/Western GOM system on Saturday/Sunday - DTB_2009, 8/11/2013, 5:34 pm
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