Re: This quiet??
Posted by Chris in Tampa on 9/28/2014, 9:27 pm
Climatologically, my area is impacted early or late. Here is October:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/images/october.gif

From:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/

Nice fronts, but then they can start turning things my way.

For the GFS, the positive spin is that the GFS long term, at least in my opinion, is wrong a lot more than right. It really seems so this year.

The following is from:
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/

Final frame in the past two runs.

18Z run on September 28th for OCTOBER 14th:



For that run origin around Panama (1006mb on October 9th):
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014092818/gfs_mslp_pcpn_atltropics_37.png

12Z run on September 28th for OCTOBER 14th:



For that run origin around Panama (1008mb on October 8th):
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2014092812/gfs_mslp_pcpn_atltropics_35.png

Obviously since this is the time of year stuff like this becomes more likely, we do have to pay more attention. But that is just so far out.
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This quiet?? - Mark in PC Beach, 9/26/2014, 5:23 pm
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